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    京津冀极端高温天气等级评估及其环流特征

    Evaluation and circulation diagnosis of extreme heat events in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region

    • 摘要: 采用气候标准期(1961—1990年、1971—2000年、1981—2010年、1991—2020年),计算1961—2023年京津冀各站点极端高温阈值,分析极端高温天气过程的时间序列与空间分布特征。结果表明:极端高温阈值京津冀南部地区最高,中部其次,北部最低,且3个地区的阈值随气候标准期演变均为逐渐升高的趋势。1961—2023年京津冀极端高温累计站日呈增加趋势,增速为0.24 d·(10 a)-1。20世纪60年代和70年代极端高温主要出现在6月,20世纪90年代及以后出现在6月和7月。通过分析1972、2002和2023年出现的17次典型极端高温天气过程的环流特征结果表明,华北地区500 hPa位势高度场为暖高压,西太平洋副热带高压西伸,是京津冀地区极端高温天气的典型环流特征。

       

      Abstract: Fine classification of Climate standard period,for 1961-1990,1971-2000,1981-2010,and 1991-2020,is adopted to calculate the extreme heat threshold at each station over the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region during 1961-2023.For each decade,the corresponding Climate standard period is adopted,and the time series and spatial distribution of extreme heat events are obtained.Results show that:The southern part of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region has the highest extreme heat threshold,followed by the central part,with the northern part being the lowest.Thresholds in all three parts exhibit an upward trend with the evolution of Climate standard period.The total station-days during 1961-2023 over the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region show an upward trend with the speed of 0.24 d·(10 a)-1.Extreme heat events occured mostly in June during 1960s and 1970s,while they occured mostly in June and July in 1990s and backwards.Atmospheric circulation diagnosis of 17 extreme heat events in 1972,2002 and 2023,The result shows that the warm high at 500 hPa over North China,along with the westward extension of the West Pacific Subtropical High,constitutes the typical circulation pattern for extreme heat events in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region.

       

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