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    2000—2020年海南岛不同季节植被变化特征分析及其气候响应

    Analysis of the characteristics of vegetation changes and climate response in different seasons of Hainan island from 2000 to 2020

    • 摘要: 基于2000—2020年的逐日气象数据和MODIS归一化植被指数(NDVI)产品,采用趋势分析、相关性分析和空间分析等方法,研究了海南岛植被覆盖度(FVC)的时空分布特征及其对气候变化的响应。结果表明:2000—2020年海南岛FVC呈现“中间高、四周低”的分布模式,其年均植被覆盖度大多介于60%~80%之间。依据F检验的分析结果,春、夏、秋季大部分地区FVC呈显著或极显著增长趋势,主要集中在中北部;冬季仅有41.7%的地区呈增长趋势,且变化不明显;从时空稳定性来看,春季沿海地区FVC波动较大,稳定性差;夏季中部山区稳定性较高;秋季高稳定地区占全岛面积的27.4%;冬季全岛超过98.8%的地区稳定性较低;在气候变化响应方面,春季FVC与气温、降水和日照时数呈正相关;夏季FVC与气温和降水呈正相关,与日照时数呈负相关;秋季FVC与气温呈正相关,与降水和日照时数呈负相关;冬季FVC与气温和降水呈正相关,与日照时数呈负相关;从关键气象因子角度看,降水对春季FVC变化影响较大,而在夏季、秋季和冬季,气温对FVC的变化起着主导作用。本研究通过深入分析海南岛植被覆盖度的变化规律,为生态保护提供了科学依据,并为应对气候变化影响提供了数据支持。

       

      Abstract: This article,based on daily meteorological data and MODIS Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI)products from 2000 to 2020,employed trend analysis,correlation analysis,and spatial analysis methods to investigate the spatiotemporal distribution characteristics of the Fractional Vegetation Cover (FVC)on Hainan Island and its response to climate change.From 2000 to 2020,the FVC on Hainan Island showed a distribution pattern of "high in the middle and low around the edges," with annual average FVC values mostly from 60% to 80%.According to the analysis results of F-test,FVC shows a significant or extremely significant growth trend in most areas during spring,summer,and autumn,mainly concentrated in the central and northern regions; Only 41.7% of the regions show an increasing trend in winter,and the changes are not significant; From the perspective of spatiotemporal stability,the FVC in coastal areas fluctuated greatly in spring,with poor stability; in summer,the central mountainous areas had higher stability; in autumn,high stability areas accounted for 27.4% of the island's area; in winter,more than 98.8% of the island's areas had lower stability.In terms of climate change response,the FVC in spring was positively correlated with temperature,precipitation,and sunshine hours,with precipitation being the key climatic factor; the FVC in summer was positively correlated with temperature and precipitation,and negatively correlated with sunshine hours; the FVC in autumn was positively correlated with temperature and negatively correlated with precipitation and sunshine hours; the FVC in winter was positively correlated with temperature and precipitation,and negatively correlated with sunshine hours.From the perspective of key meteorological factors,precipitation has a significant impact on spring FVC changes,while in summer,autumn,and winter,temperature plays a dominant role in the variation of FVC.This study provides a scientific basis for ecological protection and data support for addressing the impacts of climate change by deeply analyzing the patterns of vegetation coverage changes on Hainan Island.

       

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